Congress WILL activate the nuclear option AND will pass Health Care Reform

Posted by CotoBlogzz 02-26-2010 07:00 PM

Newsflash:  Congress WILL activate the nuclear option AND will pass Health Care Reform by 51%, with all due respect to Charles Krauthammer who has the odds of passing legislation at only 33%.

It is all about the 2010 elections and a second term.  The status quo has nothing to lose and everything to gain  by using the nuclear option -  the President will throw the unwilling under the bus.  Guido could learn a lot if he was allowed in the smoke-filled back room

The assumption Mr.  Krauthammer and other  pundits are making is that the democrats and the administration will be rational in their deliberations.  Same approach generally  used to determine likely actions to respond to  Kim Jong Il and  or Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Paraphrasing R. L. Ackoff, the Democrats and the current administration are not operating with  well-defined problems, but messes (and masses) of interconnected dynamic and mutually excusive issues favored by an eclectic mix of special interest groups.  The same can be said about the Republicans. The decision as to whether to use or not the nuclear option, is not being made by lawmakers using  predictive decision-making models but emerge  from complex social and political interactions that are anything but rational. 

The major motivation for the use of the nuclear option in the final analysis is not significantly  different from Tilikum’s,  the killer whale’s actions.  Instincts.  Power is the ultimate seductive element, and the democrats and the current administration will ultimately resort to their self-preservation instincts.  You saw this during the last Health Care Summit – after all, why would a rational person even consider bring up the topic when an overwhelming majority of the electorate simply want to start from scratc