Recent Pew Research Center data highlights a significant shift in global religious demographics, driven by migration and fertility. While Christianity currently remains the largest religious group, Islam is the fastest-growing due to a combination of high fertility rates and an overrepresentation in global migration flows.
It's worth noting that mass migration is not compassion as Minnesota's Keith Ellison, Tim Waltz, Ilhan Omar /Democrats and the media wants you to believe. It's human Trafficking.Worse: when the immigrants, like Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib, are raised in a Chalcolithic culture who think that assimilation is a Nazi value, it's suicidal.
The West funding its own demise: refer to Tim Waltz's Somali Fraudsters
Ilhan Omar and Mana Abdi say assimilation for Somalis is a non-starter
Omar says E pluribus unum is a Nazi value
Ilhan Omar: "We should be monitoring, profiling, and creating policies to fight the radicalization of white men."
Ilhan Omar blames FBI for any Somali link to terrorism
After all, given the data the FBI should know Muslims can't assimilate. As
Ilhan Omar and Mana Abdi migh say "How can you expect a person raised in a Chalcolithic culture to adapt to a 21st-century American culture?"
It's not racial profiling
It's not bigotry
It's not cruelty
Its not inhumanity
It's not xenophobia
It's not Islamophobia
Phobia is an intense, irrational, and persistent fear of a specific object, situation, or activity.
A fact-based realist is a person that prioritizes objective evidence, data, and practical realities over idealistic, theoretical, or subjective perspectives.
As Margaret Thatcher might say, "Europe was created by history." America was created by God." Ergo, etymologically, Democrats, Muslims, Socialists, Communists' values are not compatible with Founding American Culture. You can work to make a more perfect union, not to fundamentally transform it, as Barrack Hussain Obama and Democrats often argue.
It's Acculturation: can't legislate a 5 000 year-old culture: Feed crows and they will end up plucking your eyes out -Muslim proverb
Global Religion and Migration Trends (1990–2050)
| Metric | Christianity | Islam |
|---|---|---|
| Global Population (2020) | ~2.4 Billion (31%) | ~2.0 Billion (25%) |
| Share of Int'l Migrants (2020) | 47% (131 Million) | 29% (80 Million) |
| Migrant Growth (1990–2020) | +80% | +102% |
| Fertility Rate (Avg. Children) | 2.6 per woman (approx.) | 2.9 per woman |
| Religious Switching Impact | Net Loss: -66 Million by 2050 | Net Gain: +3 Million by 2050 |
| 2050 Population Projection | ~2.9 Billion (31%) | ~2.8 Billion (30%) |
Key Demographic Drivers
- Migration Overrepresentation: Muslims account for 29% of international migrants, despite being only 25% of the global population. This migrant "stock" has doubled from 40 million in 1990 to 80 million in 2020.
- The "Churn" Factor: Christianity is projected to lose over 100 million members to de-conversion (switching to "unaffiliated") by 2050, whereas Islam's growth remains stable as switching in and out largely cancels each other out.
- Fertility Engine: Higher fertility rates and a younger median age (24 for Muslims vs. 30 for Christians as of 2015-2020) are the primary drivers of Islam's rapid growth.
By 2050, these factors are expected to bring the two religions to near parity, with Islam potentially surpassing Christianity in total numbers by 2070.
Demographic shifts in Europe are characterized by a stark East-West divide. While Western and Northern European countries are projected to see significant increases in their Muslim populations due to migration and higher fertility, Eastern European countries are expected to remain relatively unchanged.
The following data from the Pew Research Center details the projected Muslim share of the population by 2050 under the "High Migration" scenario (assuming 2014–2016 refugee flows continue indefinitely alongside regular migration):
Projected Muslim Population Share by Country (2050)
| Country | 2016 Share | 2050 Projection (High Migration) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | 30.6% | +22.5% | |
| 6.9% | 19.9% | +13.0% | |
| 6.1% | 19.7% | +13.6% | |
| 7.6% | 18.2% | +10.6% | |
| 8.8% | 18.0% | +9.2% | |
| 6.3% | 17.2% | +10.9% | |
| 5.7% | 17.0% | +11.3% | |
| 7.1% | 15.2% | +8.1% | |
| 4.8% | 14.1% | +9.3% | |
| 2.6% | 7.2% | +4.6% | |
| <0.1% | 0.2% | +0.1% |
Key Regional Observations
- The Swedish Peak: is projected to see the most dramatic increase, potentially reaching nearly one-third of its population, primarily because it accepted a high volume of refugees relative to its size.
- The German Triple: 's Muslim population could more than triple, rising from roughly 5 million to 17.5 million if high migration continues.
- The East-West Buffer: Countries like , , and are expected to see almost no change, maintaining Muslim populations below 1% in all scenarios.
- Zero-Migration Growth: Even if all migration stopped today, the Muslim share in countries like would still rise (to ~12.7%) because the current Muslim population is significantly younger and has a higher fertility rate (2.6 children vs. 1.6 for non-Muslims).
European migration policy is currently shaped by a tension between economic necessity (driven by aging populations) and political security (driven by the rise of the far-right).
1. Economic Drivers: The "Worker Gap"
Europe faces a "demographic winter" characterized by shrinking workforces and a looming skills crisis.
- Labor Shortages: 75% of small and medium enterprises in the EU report difficulty hiring, particularly in technology, health, and construction.
- GDP Impact: Net migration between 2020 and 2023 is estimated to boost the Euro area's potential output by 0.5% by 2030, accounting for nearly half of the region's annual potential GDP growth.
- Sector Dependency: Key industries such as agriculture and maritime work are heavily dependent on non-EU labor from regions like North Africa and Southeast Asia.
2. Political Drivers: The "Rightward Shift"
Concerns over cultural identity and security have fueled a significant surge in far-right and populist political parties.
- Electoral Gains: In the 2024 European elections, far-right parties won approximately 24–26% of the seats in the European Parliament.
- Policy Normalization: Mainstream centrist parties have begun adopting "hardline" migration stances—such as expedited deportations and stricter border controls—to prevent losing voters to groups like the AfD (Germany) or National Rally (France).
- Identity Concerns: Opposition to migration is often strongest in affluent areas, suggesting that the backlash is driven more by perceived threats to cultural identity than by purely economic competition.
3. The Legislative Response: EU Pact on Migration (2026)
To address these pressures, the EU adopted the New Pact on Migration and Asylum in April 2024 (set for full application in June 2026):
- Mandatory Solidarity: Member states must either accept a quota of asylum seekers or pay a financial contribution (approx. €20,000 per person) to support those that do.
- "Fortress" Measures: The pact introduces mandatory border screening, accelerated asylum procedures for low-acceptance nationalities (e.g., those with <20% approval rates), and de facto detention for up to 12 weeks during processing.
- Externalization: Policies increasingly focus on "outsourcing" asylum processing to third-party countries like Tunisia or Turkey.
Summary of Current Tensions
| Factor | Influence on Policy | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Aging Population | High need for younger workers to fund social systems. | Expansion of Blue Card and skilled labor visas. |
| Right-Wing Surge | Political pressure to reduce irregular arrivals. | Stricter border screening and "securitized" rhetoric. |
| Regional Divide | Western states need workers; Eastern states resist relocation. |
In Europe, the debate over migration is a direct clash between corporate demand for labor and government spending on security. While major industries lobby for streamlined "talent corridors," the EU budget is increasingly pivoting toward militarized border control.
. Corporate Lobbying vs. Industry Needs
Major business groups like BusinessEurope are actively calling for an EU Action Plan to address "structural" labor shortages that affect 75% of small and medium enterprises.
- Healthcare: The sector has seen a 15% increase in migrant workers between 2019 and 2022 to combat critical nursing and care shortages. Organizations are lobbying for faster foreign qualification recognition to prevent "brain waste" (skilled migrants in low-skilled jobs).
- Tech & ICT: This sector saw a 50% surge in migrant employment in recent years. Industry leaders are pushing for a well-functioning EU Talent Pool and lower salary thresholds for the EU Blue Card to compete globally for talent.
- Green Energy: New cross-border projects like POWGEN are being funded to specifically connect migrants with jobs in the renewable energy sector.
. Border Security & Enforcement Budgets
While companies ask for more workers, the EU's financial priority is increasingly focused on "Fortress Europe."
- The "Border Boom": The EU's migration and border management budget has nearly tripled for the current cycle, with €81 billion allocated for 2028–2034.
- Frontex Expansion: The European Border and Coast Guard Agency (Frontex) saw its budget grow by 13,200% over the last 20 years. It is set to receive €11.9 billion to develop a "standing corps" of 30,000 border guards by 2027.
- Surveillance Industry: Market research suggests the global border infrastructure business is a "booming" industry, projected to reach $81 billion by 2030, driven by biometrics and AI.
The Spending Paradox
| Category | Budget / Trend | Primary Driver |
|---|---|---|
| Border Management | €34.9 Billion (2021-27) | Deterrence of irregular migration. |
| Frontex Agency | €11.9 Billion (Projected) | Large-scale surveillance and deportations. |
| Labor Integration | €25.2 Billion (Asylum/Integration) | Support for the New Pact on Migration. |
| Industry Demand | 200,000 Visas (Germany 2024) | Filling the "worker gap" in health/tech. |
Despite the massive security spending, economists warn that mass deportations or closed borders would be "disastrous" for GDP, potentially causing severe inflation and labor collapses in sectors like construction and agriculture.
The following table summarizes these trends based on 2020 data and 2050 projections:
Global Religion and Migration Trends (1990–2050)
Metric ChristianityIslamGlobal Population (2020)~2.4 Billion (31%)~2.0 Billion (25%)Share of Int'l Migrants (2020)47% (131 Million)29% (80 Million)Migrant Growth (1990–2020)+80%+102%Fertility Rate (Avg. Children)2.6 per woman (approx.)2.9 per womanReligious Switching ImpactNet Loss: -66 Million by 2050Net Gain: +3 Million by 20502050 Population Projection~2.9 Billion (31%)~2.8 Billion (30%)
Key Demographic Drivers
• Migration Overrepresentation: Muslims account for 29% of international migrants, despite being only 25% of the global population. This migrant "stock" has doubled from 40 million in 1990 to 80 million in 2020.
• The "Churn" Factor: Christianity is projected to lose over 100 million members to de-conversion (switching to "unaffiliated") by 2050, whereas Islam's growth remains stable as switching in and out largely cancels each other out.
• Fertility Engine: Higher fertility rates and a younger median age (24 for Muslims vs. 30 for Christians as of 2015-2020) are the primary drivers of Islam's rapid growth.
By 2050, these factors are expected to bring the two religions to near parity, with Islam potentially surpassing Christianity in total numbers by 2070.
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