Posted by Cotoblogzz
The Cotobuzz Journals’ Poldex© is non-partisan, heuristics-based indicator associated with relative name-recognition. Over the years it has proven to be very reliable with few surprises, with the possible exception of the 2010 OC Sheriff Department campaign.
For example, during the midterm elections, The Poldex© showed the US senate race with Boxer:100%, Carly: 65%, DeVore: 19% and Campbell 17%. Coupled with other reports, we were able to call accurately that Senate, the California governor and the Orange County Sheriff' races.
At that time we we used the Poldex© for the city council race in the City of Rancho Santa Margarita, showing candidate Jesse Petrilla as a relative unknown scoring less than one percentage point compared to incumbent Jim Thor. An aggressive, dogged campaign catapulted Mr Petrilla to victory.
The race for the open seat in the Orange County Third district has many similarities with the Rancho Santa Margarita council race. It pits a well- financed, establishment-backed Todd Spitzer against Villa Park Councilwoman Deborah Pauly's Tea Party - backed, shoe string campaign, in what we have dubbed Pauly v.Pitzer: An Epic David and Goliath Battle for the Sinking Orange County Titanic
This time the Poldex© results are unexpectedly mixed: statewide, Councilwoman scores 100% to Mr Spitzer 81%. More importantly however, in Orange County alone, Mr Spitzer scores 100% to Councilwoman 's 57%
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| Councilwoman Deborah Pauly |
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| Todd Spitzer |
While the Poldex© results do not support a David v. Goliath battle, it does show Councilwoman has an uphill battle. At the dame time, win or lose, it shows she has a lot of potential for a statewide position. The question remains. who is making an investment in the OCBOS and what is the expected return on investment?
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Posted By CotoBlogzz 02-11-2010 | 09:00 AM
Villa Park, CA - Our quest to find out whether Orange County City Hall supports the Baugh Initiative has started to yield good fruit. The Baugh Initiative advanced by Orange County GOP’s Chairman Scott Baugh requires politicians to choose between the GOP or the the union.
An interview of a different kind
Posted By CotoBlogzz
Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - We were looking forward to a substantive debate between Mr. Chuck DeVore and Mr. Todd Spitzer as they attempt to make their case for a Third District Board of Supervisors seat in 2012. Given their collective experience in public service, the operative question is whether they have become part of the problem, or part of the solution. We are still looking.
We publicly challenged both candidates to see whether they had any specific bold proposals - emphasis on bold, for what should be obvious reasons- for the fiscal tsunami facing the county, and to make sure they got the memo, we tried to reach them multiple times via their Facebook accounts, asking them to respond by no later than April 29, 2011 at 5:00 pm. Mr. DeVore was gracious enough to respond. We have yet to hear from Mr. Spitzer.
DeVore on ANDRES BOCELI - Rancho Santa Margarita, CA- Candidate Obama rightfully demanded that words must mean something. President Obamaregularly parses words not unlike the infamous "it all depends on what is is". Politicians regularly use the terms accountability and transparency, but when pressed as to what they are ready to do, they deflect, deny or ignore, perhaps even lie - that is, the political game of DIDL.
California's Triple Threat - Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - We assert that the sucking sound you hear are all the jobs California is losing to Nevada, Texas and Utah, in large measure do to what we refer to as California's Triple Threat: 1) Public sector organized labor, 2) un-elected, un-checked parasitic bureaucracies and 3) lobbyists.
Economic Freedom and the Triple Constraint - Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - The Heritage Foundation & The Wall Street Journal compared 183 countries across ten specific freedoms such as trade freedom, business freedom, property rights, investment freedom and others, to come up with the so called The Link Between Economic Opportunity and Prosperity: The 2009 Index of Economic Freedom. Such index ranked Hong Kong at the top, while the United States was relegated to the number six slot
A view of Senator Obama Using a Disgruntled Homeowner Prism During a recent blogging exchange with Assemblyman Todd Spitzer , he referred to a particular constituent as a disgruntled member of a homeowners association. Now, we have heard the term disgruntled employee regularly in employer-employee spats and usually in whistle blowing scenarios. We have also hear the term disgruntled resident in the context of an argument between representatives of a homeowners’ association and the resident itself. Never from a politician to characterize a constituent.
A Winning the Future Moment, or Simply: WTF? - Rancho Santa Margarita, CA – President Obama has ditched the car in the ditch metaphor and the Hope & Change slogan in lieu of taking the engine off of an airplane metaphor and Winning the Future slogan . Critics say that the new metaphor does not work, since the airplane is heading to China to mortgage future generations of American, when the airplane has no fuel, while Governor Sarah Palin characterizes the new slogan as “What Were They Thinking” (WWTT) or in the vernacular: WTF?
The 2010 Union Voting Guide - Use at your Own Peril - Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - There is a lot of truth in the old adage that "we should not judge a book by its cover." But what if we have access to the Cover, the Table of Contents and the Appendix? Can we get a good idea as to the contents of the book? In other words, using another adage "tell me who you associate with and I will tell you who you are?" and applying the latter to political elections, if we know the candidate's supporters, we should be able to have a good idea about how that candidate will govern. Take for instance Van Jones, Reverend Wright, the National Representative of the Nation of Islam's Louis Farrakhan, the Reverend Al Sharpton, terrorist William Charles " Bill" Ayers and former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel all supporters of candidate Obama. Should this not have been a good indicator, largely ignored, of the contents of the now Presidential Book?
The California Air Resources Board acknowledges that "no direct public health impacts" are expected from Prop 23. The proposition delays control of greenhouse gas emissions, implicated in global warming. It delays implementation of AB 32 (the global warming solution), which penalizes sources of emissions, especially refineries and fossil fuel power sources.
The 2010 Union Voting Guide - Use at your Own Peril
Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - There is a lot of truth in the old adage that "we should not judge a book by its cover." But what if we have access to the Cover, the Table of Contents and the Appendix? Can we get a good idea as to the contents of the book? In other words, using another adage "tell me who you associate with and I will tell you who you are?" and applying the latter to political elections, if we know the candidate's supporters, we should be able to have a good idea about how that candidate will govern. Take for instance Van Jones, Reverend Wright, the National Representative of the Nation of Islam's Louis Farrakhan, the Reverend Al Sharpton, terrorist William Charles " Bill" Ayers and former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel all supporters of candidate Obama. Should this not have been a good indicator, largely ignored, of the contents of the now Presidential Book?
Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - There is a lot of truth in the old adage that "we should not judge a book by its cover." But what if we have access to the Cover, the Table of Contents and the Appendix? Can we get a good idea as to the contents of the book? In other words, using another adage "tell me who you associate with and I will tell you who you are?" and applying the latter to political elections, if we know the candidate's supporters, we should be able to have a good idea about how that candidate will govern. Take for instance Van Jones, Reverend Wright, the National Representative of the Nation of Islam's Louis Farrakhan, the Reverend Al Sharpton, terrorist William Charles " Bill" Ayers and former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel all supporters of candidate Obama. Should this not have been a good indicator, largely ignored, of the contents of the now Presidential Book?
2010 California Propositions Voters Guide
Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - While heuristics indicate that a NO vote in any California's direct special interest democracy is a wise move, following the money may be even better. Below is a list of the 2010 California propositions, their main supporters and our recommendations, including a brief rationale.
Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - While heuristics indicate that a NO vote in any California's direct special interest democracy is a wise move, following the money may be even better. Below is a list of the 2010 California propositions, their main supporters and our recommendations, including a brief rationale.
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